US Senate
May 25, 2022
Andrew Speno

US Senator Lankford's Victory Appears Certain in Senate GOP Primary

US Senator James Lankford is showing a very comfortable lead going into the Republican Primary Election on June 28th. James Lankford, running for his second full term in the Senate, faces two challengers for the GOP nomination. However, neither candidate appears to present a viable threat to Lankford’s reelection.


SoonerPoll surveyed 302 likely Republican primary voters across the state. Lankford has overwhelming support with 73.6% of voters saying they want to keep him in office.

[QUESTION] If the Republican Primary election for the US Senate Seat was today and you were standing in the voting booth right now, for whom would you vote?

1.  James Lankford: 73.6%
2.  Jackson Lahmeyer: 8.1
3.  Joan Farr: 2.2
4.  Undecided: 16.1

 Lahmeyer’s prospects for victory appear daunting as most of the voters he is courting, namely Republicans who consider themselves very or somewhat conservative, have already made up their minds. Just 12.1% of those who identify as very conservative, and 13.6% of those who are somewhat conservative, are still undecided in the race.

Senator Lankford’s commanding lead in this race may have a correlation to his vast popularity in the state. This same poll reveals that more than 75% of Oklahoma Republicans view Lankford favorably. However, Lankford is not universally popular as this poll reveals 19.3% of Republicans who consider themselves very or somewhat conservative have an unfavorable view of him.

James Lankford has consistently ranked among the most favorable of Oklahoma’s elected leaders since he first entered the US Senate in 2015.

About the Poll, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, conducted the poll of Oklahoma likely REPUBLICAN VOTERS for a primary election.  The poll was commissioned by News9 in Oklahoma City and Newson6 in Tulsa.

The scientific study was conducted April 25-May 11, 2022 with 306 likely Republican voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of cell phones and landline telephones, and SoonerPoll's proprietary Oklahoma Voter Panel. Cell phone and landline participants were collected by live interviewer and panelist participants were collected through texts and emails. The sample was weighted by age and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely Republican voter population. The weighting was conducted using a 'layered technique.'  The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ±5.6 percent.

A complete description of the methodology can be found here. Photo by Gage Skidmore

Andrew Speno
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Andrew Speno