Governor
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May 7, 2017
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Bill Shapard

How unpopular is Governor Fallin? Kevin Durant is more popular.

One might think that former Oklahoma City Thunder player Kevin Durant, who abandoned the team to join another one just to win a championship, would be one of the most unpopular people in the Oklahoma public eye right now. But, in this highly competitive sports state, that's not the case, particularly in comparison to Governor Mary Fallin.

More than six out of ten likely voting Oklahomans find Fallin unfavorable, while less than one in five for Durant.

[box][QUESTION] I am going to read to you a list of individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion. [PROBE: VERY/SOMEWHAT] MARY FALLIN

1. Very favorable6.32. Somewhat favorable24.8COMBINED FAVORABLE31.13. Don't know/No opinion/Refused [DNR]7.64. Somewhat unfavorable21.25. Very unfavorable40.1COMBINED UNFAVORABLE61.3

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[box][QUESTION] KEVIN DURANT

1. Very favorable12.72. Somewhat favorable31.9COMBINED FAVORABLE44.63. Don't know/No opinion/Refused [DNR]38.04. Somewhat unfavorable13.35. Very unfavorable4.3COMBINED UNFAVORABLE17.6

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Fifty-two percent of Republicans found Fallin unfavorable, while 71.6 percent of Democrats and 65.1 percent of Independents did as well.

A plurality of self-identified Conservatives, 46.9 percent, found Fallin unfavorable and 75.3 percent of Moderates.

Perhaps what could be even more saddening for the Governor is 64 percent of likely voters in the 5th Congressional District, a district she represented in Congress, viewed her unfavorably with 46.3 percent as "very unfavorable," more than any other congressional district in the state.

[box][QUESTION] STATE LEGISLATURE

1. Very favorable3.12. Somewhat favorable27.1COMBINED FAVORABLE30.23. Don't know/No opinion/Refused [DNR]13.34. Somewhat unfavorable28.35. Very unfavorable28.3COMBINED UNFAVORABLE56.6

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What may also be very telling about the depths of the Governor's unpopularity is it's comparison to the State Legislature as a whole which, like most evaluations of elected bodies, never scores well.

Only 56.6 percent of likely voting Oklahomans viewed the State Legislature unfavorably compared to 61.3 percent for Fallin. While only 28 percent viewed the State Legislature as "very unfavorable," a full 40 percent viewed Fallin as "very unfavorable."

About the Poll

SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, asked these questions of Oklahoma likely voters as part of the SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll.

The scientific study was conducted from April 25 - May 1, 2017 with 409 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of both landline telephone and cell phones, plus a online panel from Research Now. The sample was weighted by age, political party, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election. The weighting was conducted using a 'layered technique.'

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and attending religious services once or more per week. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ± 4.84 percent.

This poll not only conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls but exceeds the standard disclosure with a Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

The poll's Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report can be viewed here. A beta version of the Weighting Table Report can be viewed here.

Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of SoonerPoll.com and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.