Oklahoma Poll
November 4, 2012
Bill Shapard

Vision2 has mixed support in Oklahoma Poll

BY BRIAN BARBER World Staff Writer

Vision2's quality-of-life Proposition 2 appears to be headed to victory in Tuesday's election, while the fate of Proposition 1 with its airport industrial complex upgrades and deal-closing fund is uncertain, a new Tulsa World poll shows.

An Oklahoma Poll of 440 likely voters, conducted Oct. 25 to Nov. 1, indicates Proposition 2 will pass with 58 percent support, compared with 31 percent against and 11 percent undecided.

Proposition 1 has 45 percent support, with 38 percent against and 17 percent undecided. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.67 percentage points.

SoonerPoll.com's Bill Shapard said it's almost impossible to determine how undecided voters will break on issue propositions rather than living-and-breathing candidates.

"When a proposition doesn't poll a majority, there's much greater uncertainty over its outcome," he said.

Meanwhile, Proposition 2's success at the ballot box, given its numbers, looks to be a certainty, Shapard said. It would fund projects such as low-water dams and zoo and library improvements, among many others.

"One seems to me to be just about the airport, but the other is more about the entire community," said Tulsan Shawn Stevens, a poll participant explaining why he's voting against Proposition 1 and in favor of Proposition 2.

Gladys McGraw of Tulsa said she'd vote for both parts of Vision2.

"I'm older - in my 80s - so I probably won't get to enjoy much of it, but I have to consider my grandkids and what will be good for them," she said. "A lot of these projects will make Tulsa a better place to live."

McGraw said she thinks it's also important for residents to do what they can to protect the jobs with airport industrial complex tenants like American Airlines by upgrading the city-owned facilities.

"It took my son over a year to find a job after losing one," she said. "If we can keep our jobs, in any way we can, it'd be nice."


ContinuedClick here to read the entire Tulsa World article

About the Oklahoma Poll

A poll of 440 likely voters was conducted by SoonerPoll.com, using a random digit dialing technique that included both cell phone and landline telephone numbers.

Interviewers collected the data Oct. 25-Nov. 1. Results were weighted by gender and phone status (cell phone only/landline only/both). The poll was sponsored by the Tulsa World.

The margin of error is plus or minus 4.67 percentage points. This poll conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of SoonerPoll.com and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.