November 4, 2010
Bill Shapard

Tulsa World: Turnout high in state's GOP areas, low in Dem strongholds

By Randy Krehbiel, Tulsa World

Remarkable Republican gains in the Oklahoma Legislature on Tuesday may have been facilitated by disenchanted or discouraged Democrats staying home on Election Day, a Tulsa World analysis of preliminary election data suggests.

For the most part, voter turnout was highest in counties with high Republican registration and lowest in counties with high Democratic registration.

It was precisely in those low-turnout areas where the GOP made most of its gains.

"I'm not surprised," said Bill Shapard, the president of SoonerPoll.com in Oklahoma City and an authority on voting patterns. "I don't think (the Democratic gubernatorial nominee) Jari Askins in particular told conservative Democrats what they wanted to hear about President (Barack) Obama. So what were their choices?

"Some Democrats stayed home, some voted the top of the ticket and left it at that, and some held their noses and voted for Republicans."

Shapard said disaffection for the Democratic president was undoubtedly a factor in the GOP sweep of statewide offices and the defeat of six Democratic legislators.

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Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of SoonerPoll.com and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on major campaigns for both Republicans and Democrats in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.