PollBlog
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December 22, 2014
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Bill Shapard

In Oklahoma, what gender gap? What war on women?

 

Political pundits and poll watchers have been watching very closely the internal metrics to the presidential polls to explore and help explain why the polling is so close, and who will win.

One of those internal metrics is the woman vote, also known as the gender gap. Democratic candidates have traditional carried the advantage with regard to women voters. In 2008, John McCain lost by 13 among women, George Bush in 2000 lost by 11 and barely won the election, Bob Dole in 1996 lost by 16, and George H.W. Bush lost by 8 in 1992.

Some of the most recent polling has Governor Mitt Romney trailing President Barack Obama by 7 points among women voters, but not in Oklahoma. In fact, women are within one point of men in their support of Romney, and a recent poll over the abortion pill mandate in Obamacare found men and women were within one point of each other.

So, why is there not a gender gap among men and women in Oklahoma? Before attempting to answer that question, let's explore the so-called "war on women" that Democrats claim the Republicans are waging.

 

Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of SoonerPoll.com and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.