September 18, 2020
Bill Shapard

Trump favorability remains steady, Biden is very unfavorable among likely voters

Republicans and Democrats in Oklahoma are digging in as the November election approaches. Oklahoma, still a red state, continues to show its favorability of Donald Trump, neither gaining nor losing support over the last couple of years. Joe Biden, however, finds himself right where Barrack Obama left off in his favorability.


Biden, however, has half of the Oklahoma electorate rating him as 'very unfavorable,' with a combined unfavorable of 61.5 percent.  His favorables are at 35 percent, which is just where Barrack Obama was in the summer of 2016.

This would indicate that at a statewide level, neither the Democrats nor Republicans have changed many minds over the last fours in Oklahoma. Division and divisiveness has turned to stalemate.


1. Very favorable 17.5%
2. Somewhat favorable 17.5
3. Neutral/no opinion 3.5
4. Somewhat unfavorable 11.8
5. Very unfavorable 49.7

Among Republicans, Trump is extremely high with 88.7 percent combined favorable. Among Democrats and Independents, however, the president struggles with only 26.1 percent combined favorable with Democrats, and 28.3 percent with Independents. This is much less than what Trump had after his first 100 days in office when 49.2 percent of Independents and 34.9 percent of Democrats had favorable views of him.

Biden is not liked by many Republicans, only 6.7 percent had a favorable impression of him. Among those of his own party, Biden was only favorable with 68.8 percent, another 27.8 percent found him to be unfavorable.

Independents were more split on their view of Biden with 50.6 percent favorable and 40.5 percent unfavorable. Moderates were also more split on Biden with 52.4 percent favorable and 40.8 percent unfavorable.

As expected, if the respondent was optimistic about the next six months they were more than likely favorable toward Trump, and if they were pessimistic they were more than likely favorable toward Biden.

Among those over the age of 65, who make up nearly forty percent of the electorate, 55.9 percent were favorable towards Trump, and 40.7 percent were favorable toward Biden.

While there was little differences of the two candidates by sex, 41.2 percent of women were 'very favorable' towards Trump and only 31.7 percent were 'very favorable' towards Biden, meaning Trump leads by ten points among women in favorability.

Interestingly, among likely voters that were married, 62.2 percent were favorable toward Trump, while only 32.4 percent were favorable towards Biden. Trump even led among those that were single with 51.2 percent favorable, and 41.3 percent favorable toward Biden.

Trump performed similarly in both Oklahoma City and Tulsa metro area, with 51.4 percent favorables among Tulsa metro voters.  Biden was slightly more favorable in Oklahoma City than in Tulsa, with 43.5 percent favorables in Oklahoma City and 36.9 percent in Tulsa.

Trump led by a large margin in the rural areas of the state with 68.4 percent favorable to 27 percent for Biden.

About the Poll, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, asked these questions of Oklahoma likely voters as part of the SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll.

The scientific study was conducted from August 13-31, 2020 with 379 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of both landline telephone and cell phones, plus SoonerPoll's proprietary online panel. The sample was weighted by age, political party, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a primary election. The weighting was conducted using a 'layered technique.'

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and attending religious services once or more per week. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ±5.03 percent.

This poll not only conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls but exceeds the standard disclosure with a Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

The poll's Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report can be viewed here.  A beta version of the Weighting Table Report can be viewed here.

Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on major campaigns for both Republicans and Democrats in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.