September 19, 2017
Bill Shapard

Majority of Oklahomans favor Trump, but 'very unfavorable' increases

A majority of likely-voting Oklahomans view President Trump favorably, but its been on a slow and steady decline since his swearing in.

In contrast, Barack Obama never held a majority in favorability among Oklahomans, starting at 46 percent, but quickly fell through the first ten months of his administration. Trump, on the other hand, seems to be holding his own support during what many might say was a challenging first eight months.

The greatest movement has been among those Oklahomans who now view Trump as 'very unfavorable,' from 26.8 percent in February to 32.9 percent now.

Among Republicans in the state, Trump enjoys high favorables with 77.5 percent, but this is down slightly from February when 80.1 percent viewed him favorably.

Trump's greatest loss has been with Democratic voters, mostly those that are moderate or conservative voting. In February, 45.2 percent viewed him 'very unfavorable,' which now is 58.2 percent. Keep in mind that only 31.6 percent of Democrats in Oklahoma identify as liberal, with 43.8 percent as moderate.

Independents are split right down the middle in their view of Trump with 45.5 percent viewing him favorable and 45.2 percent viewing him unfavorable.

It should be noted that Trump continues to enjoy a ten point advantage in his 'strong' support over his 'soft' support when comparing those who view him as 'very favorable' as opposed to 'somewhat favorable' (32.3 percent to 22 percent).

About the Poll, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, asked these questions of Oklahoma likely voters as part of the SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll.

The scientific study was conducted from August 22-28, 2017 with 404 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of both landline telephone and cell phones, plus a online panel from Research Now. The sample was weighted by age, political party, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election. The weighting was conducted using a 'layered technique.'

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and attending religious services once or more per week. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ± 4.81 percent.

This poll not only conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls but exceeds the standard disclosure with a Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

The poll's Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report can be viewed here. A beta version of the Weighting Table Report can be viewed here.

Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.