September 15, 2022
Bill Shapard

Pinnell Leads his Democratic Challenger by Nearly 29 Points in Lt. Governor Re-Election

In the first of general election polls, Lt. Governor Matt Pinnell leads his Democratic opponent by nearly 29 points, the largest margin for a Republican in any of the statewide races on the ballot in November.


Pinnell, who ran for office for the first time four years ago, is looking to gain a second term as Lt. Governor.

The poll was commissioned by News9 and Newson6 in Tulsa of 402 likely voters statewide.

[QUESTION] If the upcoming November election for LT. GOVERNOR was held TODAY and you were in the voting booth right now and had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?

1.  Matt Pinnell: 53.6%
2.  Melinda Alizadeh-Fard: 25.9
3.  Ray Woods: 4.8
4.  Don’t Know/Undecided: 15.7

Pinnell leads by a large margins in most of the demographic subsets, including men 61.5 to 23.4 percent for Alizadeh-Fard, and 47 to 28 percent among women.

Among Democrats, Pinnell received that largest percentage of votes than any other Republican on the ballot at 7.4 percent while only losing 3.8 percent of Republicans to his challenger. Pinnell also had the largest percentage of Independent support than any other Republican on the statewide ballot at 43 percent.

Other than Labor Commissioner Leslie Osborn, Pinnell also was the only other Republican on the statewide ballot to receive the most support among moderate voters with 39.7 percent.

Pinnell led in every congressional district as well.

About the Poll, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, asked these questions of Oklahoma likely voters in an exclusive poll for News9 and Newson6 in Tulsa.

The scientific study was conducted from September 2-7, 2022 with 402 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a dual-frame of both landline and SoonerPoll's proprietary online panel. The landline sample was collected using IVR (Interactive Voice Response). The sample was weighted by age, party, gender, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election. The weighting was conducted using a 'layered technique.'

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and nearly a third identifying as Moderate. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ±4.89 percent.

A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on major campaigns for both Republicans and Democrats in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.