Oklahoman: In Oklahoma, evangelicals remain major voting bloc
By Ben Felder, Oklahoman
The path to victory in an Oklahoma election goes through the pews of the state's evangelical churches. And while the number of self-proclaimed evangelicals has declined in recent years, it remains one of the state's largest voting blocs and is instrumental in deciding everything from the result of state questions to Oklahoma's seven presidential electoral votes.
As a part of America's Bible Belt — if not the buckle — Oklahoma's likely voting population on Nov. 8 is estimated to be 55 percent evangelical, according to SoonerPoll's analysis of likely voters.
Made up of mostly white members of Protestant churches that profess a born again-centric theology, such as Southern Baptist Convention, Church of the Nazarene, Assemblies of God and many nondenominational churches, in Oklahoma as evangelicals go, so goes the state.
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Support for Clinton/Trump and among the death penalty state question (SQ776), the Ten Commandments state question (SQ790), and expansion of wine/strong beer (SQ792), broken down by frequency of church attendance and by those who identify as evangelical
Frequency of church attendance and evangelical (Several times a week, Weekly, Never, Evangelical)
Clinton 15.1%, 25.0%, 43.7%, 17.7%
Trump 77.4%, 60.6%, 45.0%, 72.6%
SQ776 Support 78.5%, 71.3%, 70.9%, 81.7%
SQ 790 Support 33.5%, 45.8%, 43.5%, 43.4%
SQ 792 Support 36.2%, 60.4%, 85.5%, 54.3%
About the Poll
SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, asked these questions of Oklahoma likely voters as part of the SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll and commissioned by the Oklahoman.
The scientific study was conducted from October 18-20, 2016 with 530 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of both landline telephone and cell phones, plus a online panel from Research Now. The sample was weighted by age, political party, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election. The weighting was conducted using a 'layered technique.'
The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and attending religious services once or more per week. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ± 4.26 percent.
This poll not only conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls but exceeds the standard disclosure with a Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.
The poll's Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report can be viewed here. A beta version of the Weighting Table Report can be viewed here.
